(in Polish) Analiza strategiczna

obligatory courses

30h, lecture

The class is intended to be an interactive lecture, building on the art and science of strategic analysis and responding to the possible academic interests of its participants. It will offer an introduction to the theory and methods of strategic analysis. They essentially serve as management and planning tools in the activities of the state and private (business) entities. However, together we will consider their utility for security studies.

The most important component of the class will be the presentation of the strategic analysis environment (including the analyst's toolkit, relationship with the environment, sources of pressure, cognitive limitations, risks of distorting the results of the analysis and ways to mitigate them, analytical methods and effective delivery of the analytical product).

After the class, each participant should be able to assess the usefulness of strategic analysis techniques as research tools, and to understand:

- the strategic analysis as an art and science of multi-faceted utility,

- the significance of intellectual and ethical standards in the analyst's work,

- the importance of asking the right analytical questions, the spectrum of information sources and methods of verifying their reliability,

- the need to develop critical thinking skills, recognize and avoid cognitive bias,

- be familiar with key analytical methods and techniques, and to recognize their utility in solving practical analytical problems,

- know, how to effectively deliver the “analytical product”.

Given the existence of a large body of topical literature, students are free to choose relevant reading on their own. However, it is recommended that they know, the following books (if necessary, some of them may be provided to the group in the pdf format after the first meeting):

R.J. Heuer, R. H. Pherson, Structured Analytical Techniques for Intelligence Analysis, Washington 2011.

P. Tetlock, D. Gardiner, Superforecasting. The Art and Science of Prediction, London 2015.

R. Kugler, Policy Analysis in National Security Affairs. New Methods for a New Era, Washington DC, 2006.

D. Kahneman, Thinking Fast and Slow, New York 2011 (polska edycja: Pułapki myślenia. O myśleniu szybkim i wolnym, Poznań 2012).

T. Juneau, ed., Strategic Analysis in Support of International Policy Making: Case Studies in Achieving Analytical Relevance, Rowman & Littlefield, 2017.

M. D. Jones, The Thinker’s Toolkit. Fourteen Powerful Techniques for Problem Solving, Three Rivers Press, New York 2009 (multiple editions since 1998).

S. Kent, Strategic Intelligence for American World Policy, Princeton University Press, 1949.

A. Dawidczyk, Analiza strategiczna w dziedzinie bezpieczeństwa państwa. Wybrane metody, Warszawa 2020.

Kozłowski J., Teoria i praktyka działań analityczno – informacyjnych, Warszawa 2016.

Knowledge: Knows and understands:

WG_2 - the main development trends in the disciplines of the social sciences in which the education is provided

Skills: Can:

UK_4 - participating in scientific discourse in the field of the social sciences

Social competences: Is ready to:

KK_1 - critically evaluating achievements within a given scientific discipline in the field of the social sciences

description of requirements related to participation in classes, including the permitted number of explained absences;

Effective learning requires full participation in the course. Reasonable approach to explained absences can be expected.

principles for passing the classes and the subject (including resit session);

- in-class attendance and active participation in possible group discussions,

- preparation of a brief educational text (not exceeding 3000 words = 8-10 standard pages, including bibliography) containing a description of the selected method of strategic analysis, structured as follows:

1. description of the method,

2. description of the analytical procedure,

3. discussion of its suitability for scientific research, including criticism, if applicable.

Deadline for completion of the work: the last class meeting. Complete papers meeting style and linguistic standards should be sent by email, both to the lecturer and to all of the class participants (to extend their knowledge). We will discuss the details of the assignment during the class.

No class attendance and no paper means no passing. The passing grade will be introduced to the USOS upon receipt of the paper.

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