Security of energy and raw materials

obligatory courses

Analysis of statistical data and energy, water and food security indexes

Source analysis

Strategic analysis in relation to energy strategies of importing and exporting countries

Case studies of exporters / importers / transport routes / energy policies / NOCs / IOCs / investment regimes / oil crises / gas crises

Market analysis

Classes are conducted in the form of interactive discussions, individual and group tasks that enable students to acquire knowledge and analytical skills in the field of energy and raw materials security. The goal is to provide knowledge of contemporary raw material and energy problems, including raw material conflicts and energy security, the functioning of the international oil, gas and regional energy markets; energy transformation and supply-demand and technology trends - from a historical and contemporary perspective.

1. Introduction

2. Resource conflicts. Concepts of the abundance paradox and resource curse.

Case studies: Indonesian conflicts, conflict in the South China Sea

K. Pronińska, Energy security and the armed intervention of the West after the Cold War, 'International Relations-International Relations', volume 51, issue 3 (theoretical part)

E. Aspinall, The Construction of Grievance: Natural Resources and Identity in a Separatist Conflict, "The Journal of Conflict Resolution" Vol. 51, Iss. 6, (Dec 2007), pp. 950-972.

P. le Billon, Resources and armed conflicts, in: P.le Billon, Fuelling War: Natural Resources and Armed Coflicts, Adelphi 2006.

Conflicts in Aceh, West Papua, South China Sea - ICG reports (including https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-east-asia/indonesia/indonesia-resources-and-conflict-papua

https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-east-asia/south-china-sea/south-china-sea-positions-and-facts

3. Energy and raw materials security - theoretical issues. The economic, geostrategic and ecological dimensions. Threats to energy security. Energy security indexes. Water and food security indexes.

K. Pronińska, "Energy security in EU-Russia relations. Geopolitics and economics of energy raw materials ", Warsaw (Elipsa) 2012, pp. 21-36 or R. Kuźniar (et al.)," International Security ", academic manual, Scholar 2011, pp. 306-317

D. E. Nye, Consumption of Energy, The Oxford Handbook of the History of Consumption, 2012.

M. A. Brown, Y. Wang, B. Sovacool, A. L. D’Agostino, forty years of energy security trends: A comparative assessment of 22 industrialized countries, Energy Research & Social Science 2014.

Indexes: internet

4. Analysis of global trends - world energy balance, supply and demand trends (oil, gas, coal, nuclear energy, renewable energy). Importers' policy and the issue of energy transformation. Importer policy case study: German Energiewende

D. Yergin, Ensuring Energy Security, "Foreign Affairs", March / April 2006.

Chapters on energy security in the "Strategic Yearbook" - editions: 2010/2011 pp. 261-268; 2012/13 pp. 323-329

IEA, World Energy Outlook 2017, OECD / IEA 2017, Executive Summary (and previous editions)

5. Oil market - history; operation (oil exchanges; species; prices; trade). System of forces - distribution of documented reserves; production; consumption. The role of OPE. Case study: US 'shale revolution'

K. Pronińska, Contemporary energy security environment from the perspective of the changing balance of power on the oil market, in: "Trends and development processes in contemporary international relations. Jubilee book on the occasion of the 40th anniversary of the Institute of International Relations at the University of Warsaw ", Wydawnictwo Naukowe Scholar, pp. 271-283;

Chapters on energy security (part 1 crude oil) from the "Strategic Yearbook" editions from 2014/15

IEA, World Energy Outlook 2017. OECD / IEA, Executive Summary.

www.opec.com

6. Global security of oil supply. Export and import structure. Geopolitics of transport routes. Study of oil crises - historical and contemporary cases of supply disruptions (causes, characteristics of the crisis, importance for the global market). NOCs vs. IOCs. Case studies profiles of OPEC and non-OPEC suppliers

7. Gas market - history; operation (gas pipelines vs. LNG; exchanges vs. KDT). System of forces - distribution of documented reserves; production; consumption; main transport routes - regional markets vs. global market? New production and transport technologies. European gas market. The structure of imports and exports, the importance of transit countries (Ukraine, Turkey). Case study: Southern Corridor projects Central Asia-EU.

8. Study of Russian energy policy - the state and challenges of the Russian fuel and energy sector, characteristics of Russian oil and gas diplomacy instruments. The importance of European direction vs. development of Asian majors.

9-10. Energy policy of the European Union - liberalization of the energy and gas market, security of supply, sustainable development. Diagnosis of EU energy security. Energy Union concept. Case study: Gazprom vs. KE

11. Energy security of Poland and the countries of Central and Central and Eastern Europe.

12. Energy and raw material security in Asia. Geopolitics of oil and gas transport routes to East Asia. Comparison of PRC and Japan energy security strategies.

For statistical data analysis: BP Statistical Review 2019 (internet)

K. Pronińska, Bezpieczeństwo energetyczne a interwencje zbrojne Zachodu po zimnej wojnie, „Stosunki Międzynarodowe-International Relations”, tom 51, zeszyt 3 (cz. teoretyczna)

E. Aspinall, The Construction of Grievance: Natural Resources and Identity in a Separatist Conflict, ”The Journal of Conflict Resolution” Vol. 51, Iss. 6, (Dec 2007), ss. 950-972.

P. le Billon, Resources and armed conflicts, w: P.le Billon, Fuelling War: Natural Resources and Armed Coflicts,Adelphi 2006.

Konflikty w Aceh, Papui Zachodniej, Morze Południowochińskie – raporty ICG (m.in. https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-east-asia/indonesia/indonesia-resources-and-conflict-papua

https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-east-asia/south-china-sea/south-china-sea-positions-and-facts

K. Pronińska, „Bezpieczeństwo energetyczne w stosunkach UE-Rosja. Geopolityka i ekonomia surowców energetycznych”, Warszawa (Elipsa) 2012, ss. 21-36 lub R. Kuźniar (et. al.), „Bezpieczeństwo Międzynarodowe”, podręcznik akad., Scholar 2011, ss. 306-317

D. E. Nye, Consumption of Energy, The Oxford Handbook of the History of Consumption, 2012.

M.A. Brown, Y. Wang, B. Sovacool, A. L. D’Agostino, forty years of energy security trends: A comparative assessment of 22 industrialized countries, Energy Research & Social Science 2014.

Indeksy: internet

D. Yergin, Ensuring Energy Security, ”Foreign Affairs”, marzec/kwiecień 2006.

Rozdziały dot. bezpieczeństwa energetycznego w „Rocznik Strategiczny” – edycje: 2010/2011 ss.261-268; 2012/13 ss. 323-329

IEA, World Energy Outlook 2017, OECD/IEA 2017, Executive Summary (oraz wcześniejsze edycje)

K. Pronińska, Współczesne środowisko bezpieczeństwa energetycznego z 
perspektywy zmieniającego się układu sił na rynku ropy, w: „Tendencje i procesy rozwojowe współczesnych stosunków międzynarodowych. Księga jubileuszowa z okazji 40-lecia Instytutu Stosunków Międzynarodowych Uniwersytetu Warszawskiego”, Wydawnictwo Naukowe Scholar, ss. 271-283;

Rozdziały dotyczące bezpieczeństwa energetycznego (cz. 1 ropa naftowa) z „Rocznik Strategiczny” edycje od 2014/15

IEA, World Energy Outlook 2017. OECD/IEA, Executive Summary (cz. dot. ropy).

www.opec.com

B. Fattouh, How secure are Middle East oil supplies?, w: A. Wenger, R. Orttung, J. Perovic, Energy and the Transformation of International Relations, Oxford Univ. Press., 2009.

L. el-Katiri, B. Fattouh, On Oil Embargos and the Myth of the Iranian Oil Weapon, Oxford Energy Comment, Feb. 2012.

A. Kerr, Energy Security, The RUSI Journal, 2008.

Kryzysy naftowe – internet; współczesne zaburzenia dostaw ropy np. K. Pronińska, Bezpieczeństwo energetyczne w dobie zaburzeń dostaw ropy i globalnej debaty klimatycznej, „Rocznik Strategiczny 2013/14”;

Profile państw eksporterów: np. www.eia.doe.gov; IEA serie Country Reviews oraz IEA World Energy Outlooks (baza OECD); publikacje OIES https://www.oxfordenergy.org; K. Pronińska, „Bezpieczeństwo energetyczne w stosunkach UE-Rosja”, Warszawa 2010 (części dot. sektora naftowego Rosji) ; o różnicach w reżimach naftowych: M. Nassem i S. Naseem World Petroleum Regimes, w: Talus, K.. Research Handbook on International Energy Law. : Edward Elgar Publishing, 2014

D. Yergin, M. Stoppard, The Next Prize, ”Foreign Affairs”, listopad/grudzień 2003.

Rozdziały dot. bezpieczeństwa energetycznego w „Rocznik Strategiczny” – edycje: 2010/2011 ss.261-268; 2012/13 ss. 323-329; 2-13/2-14 ss. 161-163..

A.Honore, European Natural Gas Demand, Supply, Pricing, Oxford Univ. Press, 2010, ss. 12-32; 135-161

K. Barysch, Turkey’s role in European energy security, Centre for European Reform, Dec. 2007.

Studium przypadku Korytarz Południowy, np.: O. Sierra, A corridor through thorns: EU energy security and the Southern Energy Corridor, ”European Security”, 19:4, Dec. 2010, ss. 643-660 lub K. Pronińska, Bezpieczeństwo energetyczne w stosunkach UE-Rosja, Warszawa 2010, s. 361-375; 391-395 lub „Rocznik Strategiczny 2010/11”, ss.277-282.

K. Pronińska, Bezpieczeństwo energetyczne w stosunkach UE-Rosja…, ss. 181-196; 217-232; 391-325; 337-339;

Pipelines, politics and power. The Future of EU-Russia energy relations, Centre for European Reform, 2007, wybrane eseje (internet)

S. Pirani (red.), Russian and CIS gas markets and their impact on Europe, Oxford Univ. Press 2009 (cz. dot. Rosji)

K.Pronińska, Bezpieczeństwo energetyczne w dobie spadających cen ropy i wojny na Ukrainie, „Rocznik Strategiczny 2014/15”, ss. 144-153 (tu: sankcje nałożone na rosyjski sektor energetyczny)

R. Youngs, A new geopolitics of EU energy security, 23 Sept. 2014, http://carnegieeurope.eu/publications/?fa=56705

Evolution of EU Energy Policy w: Ali Tekin Paul, A. Williams, Geo-Politics of the Euro-Asia Nexus, Palgrave Macmillan, 2010, ss. 13-63

K. Pronińska, Bezpieczeństwo energetyczne w stosunkach UE-Rosja…, ss. 232-273; K. Pronińska Polityka energetyczna UE w warunkach zmiany modelu integracji europejskiej, w: T. Grosse (red.), Polityki europejskie w dobie kryzysu , Wydawnictwo Naukowe Scholar, ss. 197-226; rozdział dot. bezpieczeństwa energetycznego w „Rocznik Strategiczny” edycja 2014/15 ss. 153-158 i edycja 2015/16 (cz. dot. Unii Energetycznej)

A. Wenger, R. Orttung, J. Perovic, Energy and the Transformation of International Relations, Oxford Univ. Press., 2009, ss. 349-355.

Link: https://ec.europa.eu/energy/; w tym http://ec.europa.eu/priorities/energy-union-and-climate_en;

K. Pronińska, Wpływ współpracy energetycznej krajów Europy Środkowej na regionalne bezpieczeństwo energetyczne i politykę energetyczną UE, wyd. Centrum Europejskie Natolin, “Zeszyty CEN” nr 51, Warszawa 2013 (http://www.natolin.edu.pl/pdf/zeszyty/Natolin_Zeszty_51.pdf)

Rozdziały dot. bezpieczeństwa energetycznego Polski w „Rocznik Strategiczny”, m.in. „Rocznik Strategiczny 2012/13”, ss. 329-334

Polityka energetyczna Polski do 2030 r. (http://www.mg.gov.pl/files/upload/8134/Polityka%20energetyczna%20ost.pdf)

M.S. Dinu, New Strategy: Heartland or Energoland?, “Strategic Impact”, no 1/2011.

Studia przypadku np.: A.Wenger, R. Orttung, J. Perovic, Energy and the Transformation of International Relations, Oxford Univ. Press. 2009; www.eia.doe.gov, IEA serie Country Reviews oraz IEA World Energy Outlooks (baza OECD); publikacje OIES https://www.oxfordenergy.org.

- student has knowledge in the field of: energy and raw materials security theory; energy, water and food security indexes; the most important supply and demand trends and the history of the oil, gas and electricity market; energy policies and strategies of Russia, Germany, China, Poland, Japan and the EU.

- student is able to analyze statistical data and draw conclusions regarding the energy market

S1_W03, S1_W09, S1_W07, S1_U01, S1_U02, S1_U03, S1_U05, S1_U06, S1_K01, S1_K02, S1_K04, S1_K05

- presence (2 admissible absences)

- activity - substantive preparation for classes, in accordance with the syllabus, optional presentations discussing the current stage of the case

- individual elaboration 1-page analysis profile of a given oil exporter and characteristics of the investment regime

- test

no